Here we are again, with the annual A&M-texas game back on Thanksgiving night, where it belongs. The 6-5 Aggies will face the 11-0 longhorns Thursday night; the longhorns are playing for an undefeated regular season, and to keep their national championship dreams intact; the Aggies are playing for their third win over texas in the last four years, and to guarantee an overall winning season by defeating their archrival.  

texas leads the Big 12 in scoring offense (42.5 points per game), and is second in scoring defese (13.3 ppg), while A&M is third (33.5) and last (31.2), respectively. Where texas is really outstanding is on run defense, giving up only 55.1 yards per game. That will make anyone one-dimensional on offense, but texas is also outstanding in pass defense, giving up only 188.6 yds per game. Will Muschamp has done a phenomenal job with his defense in Austin.

Offensively, the star of this team is WR/PR Jordan Shipley. I know the media loves to fawn all over quarterback Colt McCoy, but Shipley is really the player who makes this texas offense go. He is McCoy's security blanket on offense, and normally his first option on most pass plays. (Coincidentally, they are also roommates and best friends who like to go fishing together. Their fathers were also roommates when they played together at Abilene Christian years ago. ROOMMATES!!! Bet you didn't know that.) Shipley has 91 receptions for 1204 yards and 9 TDs on the season so far, and he still has at least three more games to play. Shipley also leads the Big 12 in punt returns, averaging 13.3 yards per return, with two taken back for a TD. If we hope to contain texas' offense on Thursday, we need to find a way to control Shipley.

QB Colt McCoy has had a solid but not spectacular season, completing 286 of 392 passes for 3024 yards, 23 TDs, and 9 interceptions. After leading texas in rushing a season ago, McCoy has only 193 yards rushing on 93 carries and 1 TD. Because our defense is so mediocre as stopping the run, I expect texas to call the zone read quite often, and also call designed QB runs for McCoy to hopefully boost his Heisman candidacy. We need to force the give to the RB on every zone read and punish McCoy, because the RB is the lesser threat of the two when carrying the ball. McCoy can scramble to avoid pressure, run to the LOS to bring the cornerbacks and safeties up, and then pass over them for a big gain. We need to get pressure on McCoy and force some turnovers; he averages over a turnover a game, and we need to keep him on track and get him frustrated. If Von Miller, Matt Moss, Spencer Nealy & Co can rattle his cage a little, that would help immensely.

Running the ball has been something of a mixed bag for texas; they don't have a single rusher ranked among the Big 12's top 12 runners, and they rank 5th in the Big 12 in rushing, averaging 152.2 yards per game. Part of texas' problem running the ball seems to be their offensive line, which has been average at best this season, failing to become the dominant unit many expected. texas doesn't have a single back who has rushed for over 400 yards this season, but they have three at 300 yards or more (Vondrell McGee, Tre Newton, Cody Johnson). Their leading rusher, Tre Newton, who should start against us Thursday, has carried the ball 67 times for 370 yards (5.5 ypc average), and 5 TDs.  Newton is a solid back with good balance and decent speed; the reason he doesn't have better numbers has to do with texas' running-back-by-committee approach, a mild concussion he had earlier this year that cause him to miss some playing time,  and poor execution by the offensive line. Newton should get the bulk of the carries on Thursday, with Cody Johnson coming in for short yardage situations. When texas goes to their 21 or 22 personnel for short yardage or inside the red zone, you will see fullback Antwan Cobb enter the game. Cobb rarely carries the ball (1 carry for 3 yards on the season so far), but he is a very dependable blocker, and does his job well. If any texas running back is close to 100 yards rushng by the end of the third quarter, you'll know we are in trouble.

Defensively, it all starts up front for texas, where they are led by DT Lamarr Houston and DE Sam Acho. Houstn has 43 tackles on the season, 19 tackles for loss, 7 sacks, and 2 fumbles recoveries. Acho has 41 tackles, 11 TFL, 7 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, and 4 fumble recoveries. These two are a deadly inside-outside combination up front, and do a good job wreaking havoc on opposing offensive lines. Acho and Houston are backed up by a very capable linebacking corps in Roddrick Muckelroy (72 tackles, 9 TFL, 2 sacks), Keenan Robinson (51 tackles, 3 TFL, 1 sack), and Emmanuel Acho (43 tackles, 10 TFL, 3 sacks); if you get past the defensive line, those three are waiting to clean up. texas' secondary is led by safety Earl Thomas, who has 57 tackles, 4 TFL, and a ridiculous 7 interceptions on the season. Blake Gideon is solid, but unspectacular (49 tackles, 1 TFL, 4 PBU), while CB Aaron Williams is a playmaker (33 tackles, 6 TFL, 2 sacks, 2 interceptions, 2 forced fumbles). Against good defenses, you run right at them, and I think we would be most effective running Power right at WDE Sergio Kindle, who has been a disappointment this season when you look at the preseason predictions. In the passing game, I would try to attack Blake Gideon as much as possible, and try use the short passing game a lot, dinking and dunking our way down the field. If we can be balanced on offense, running and passing the ball effectively, we have a chance to control the tempo of the game, and give ourselves a chance to win. If we can have a good game on the ground, add around 20 yards or more to their season average of per game rushing, we'll win the game.