Predicting The Big 12 Bowls

by Beergut on Dec 15, 2009 7:49 AM CST Comment 24 comments

These are just my gut predictions on who will win each bowl game, without doing any serious analysis:

Independence Bowl, Aggies vs Georgia: I think Georgia wins this one by ten. I am worried we will play them tough, but we'll be trailing by a field goal late in the game and they'll tack on one more score to win it by double-digits.
Holiday Bowl, Nebraska vs Arizona: I think this will be a close one, with Arizona possibly pulling it out by a late field goal to win by one or two points. Nebraska simply has to do something with their offense; if they can move the ball at all on offense, they will win easily.
Sun Bowl, Oklahoma vs Stanford: This should actually be a very competitive game, but I think Oklahoma will eventually pull away and win it by 10 points. OU's defensive line will help slow down Toby Gerhart.
Texas Bowl, Missouri vs Navy: Missouri will win this one by two TDs, if not more. Missouri will struggle stopping Navy's option offense, but Navy won't be able to stop Danario Alexander, who will have a monster game.
Insight Bowl, Iowa State vs Minnesota: I like Iowa State to pull the upset in this game. I have nothing to base this on other than the fact that I think Paul Rhoads is an outstanding coach who will have his team ready to play.
Cotton Bowl, Oklahoma State vs Ole Miss: Assuming Zac Robinson is healthy, this one probably won't be close. Dexter McCluster for Mississippi is a helluva player, but expect OSU to win this one.
Alamo Bowl, Texas Tech vs Michigan State: I don't like Leach's decision to start Taylor Potts, and Tech ended the season with a whimper, almost losing to Baylor. However, Michigan State has off-the-field issues that is distracting them, and I think Tech will be motivated by last year's embarrassment in Dallas. Tech wins by 7.
BCS National Championship Game, texas vs Alabama: This game will feature two terrific defenses playing against two competent but not stellar offenses. When you have a game which features two very good defenses, the initial team to pick is the team with the better running game. texas doesn't have a dependable running game, Alabama's offense is their running game, and they have the offensive line to make some holes against Lamarr Houston, Sam Acho, and the other members of texas' defensive front. Alabama's offensive line will wear down texas' defense, and they'll win the game by at least ten points.

Those are my bowl predictions for all the Big 12 teams in bowls. I have us going 4-3 as a conference in our bowl games. What do you think?

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Michigan State’s passing defense is beyond abysmal, so as long as you’re not giving more than ten I’d have to say it’s the one “bet ’til your hands bleed” lock of the bowl season. Tech may start out slow, but in the second half they’ll be able to call their own score.

by HawkeyedFrog on Dec 15, 2009 9:07 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

I think Ole Miss beats OSU going away

by miketag on Dec 15, 2009 4:46 PM CST via mobile reply actions 0 recs

I think

the teams who might lose would be us, OU, and Texas. Obviously if Nebraska can field a high school offense they will win, but right now that seems unlikely so that one may be close. I hope all of them win and I think there is a decent possibility the big 12 wins all of its bowl games. By decent I mean 30% chance.

by the12thman11 on Dec 15, 2009 5:13 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

I hope tu loses

by miketag on Dec 15, 2009 8:42 PM CST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs

aww, i hope you win

by Displaced Longhorn on Dec 16, 2009 11:30 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Oh come on Mike

Show some sportsmanship – UT is still a big 12 team and a big win by the Horns makes the teams that played them close – like the Aggies – appear that much better.

by littlelonghorngirl on Dec 16, 2009 8:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I'm still not going to cheer for UT.

That’s not bad sportsmanship; I just like Alabama more than UT.

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by FuturePants on Dec 17, 2009 12:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Bama

I had a great time at Mardi Gras when I was in college with some folks from Bama. That is, until they came upon some folks from Auburn, and a fight broke out.

by ambivalent on Dec 17, 2009 12:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I was on a pub crawl two weeks ago...

…and there were these two Bama girls. They were hot, so there you go.

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by FuturePants on Dec 17, 2009 12:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Where was this pub crawl, I need to start doing that again?

by the12thman11 on Dec 17, 2009 1:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Dallas

It’s called Santa for a Cause www.dfwsantacause.com

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by FuturePants on Dec 17, 2009 2:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

That's OK

You’re not a real aggy anyway!

Texas A&M - The definition of Moral Victory

by littlelonghorngirl on Dec 25, 2009 12:23 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

What does rooting against tu have to do with sportsmanship? How does tu winning the BCS game help A&M?

by miketag on Dec 17, 2009 2:23 PM CST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs

Nothing I guess

I just assumed you supported the Big 12 in general. Since the aggys and The University are both in the same conference I just thought you would want all the conference teams to win. I know I do – INCLUDING Texas A&M!
If you don’t give a flip about the reputation of the big 12, I suggest you root for the aggys to go to the big 10 – I hear they might be be looking for a team – Northwestern should be a lock win for you. (lol – I’m just messin with you – don’t get into an uproar)

by littlelonghorngirl on Dec 17, 2009 3:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Are you also for OU over Stanford?

by ambivalent on Dec 17, 2009 3:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

I root for most Big 12 teams just not tu. I think the Big 12 was very down this year and we will see that in the bowl game results. It does not benefit A&M for tu to win. In fact, it negatively effects A&M if tu wins. Therefore I always root against tu. I care about A&M first and foremost.

by miketag on Dec 18, 2009 2:29 AM CST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs

It's just a college Mike

Mostly high school kids go there to get a degree – just like another college in College Station. It’s not Russia or Iran, Mike. Grow up

by littlelonghorngirl on Dec 21, 2009 11:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

On your predictions

Independence Bowl – Don’t be so hard on the aggys – I think thye win here by two touchdowns, at least I hope they do.
49 – 34 in a shootout

Holiday Bowl – Sigh, I just don’t think Nebraska has the offensive hosses – a boring game with my upset prediction that Arizona wins by a field goal
10-7 Ho Hum!

Sun Bowl – Another boring game – ou stuffs the run and wins in the 4th qtr.
21 – 7

Texas Bowl – who cares? Except we want a big 12 team to win

Insight Bowl – Why are they playing this game?

Cotton Bowl – I tend to pull for Ole Miss a little – after all they have a UT reject for a QB – gotta go with Okie State though and another big 12 win
24 – 17

Alamo Bowl – The Techies run away with this one – tortillas for everyone
54 – 21

Rose Bowl – I agree – Bama is the odds on favorite and most of the writers are enamored with the SEC (sounds like 2005 and USC, right?).

17-14 – If Texas wins it
45 – 10 – if Bama wins it

And, finally – thank you for being equitable – not all Aggies are bad :-)

by littlelonghorngirl on Dec 16, 2009 8:27 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

Who was equitable?

by the12thman11 on Dec 16, 2009 11:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs

Bowls

If the Aggie offense can play against Georgia the way they played against Texas, they can most definitely win the game by a couple of scores.

My bookie has Mizzou at -6.5 and Tech at -8. I think they will both handily cover. OU should cover -8 against Stanford, but for some reason I am just not in love with the spread. It might have a lot to do with Stanford hype though. But it could also have a lot to do with OU inconsistency. OSU/Ole Miss has potential to be the best game out of any Big XII bowl (barring an offensive shootout between A&M/Georgia). Nebraska needs to show up with a better than high school offense to beat Arizona in San Diego. I agree with littlelonghorngirl that a defensive game favors Texas in the BCS championship game.

Outside of the Big XII, I am interested in seeing Dan LeFevour in his last CFB game. He could be the real deal in the NFL. Just wish that the MAC wasn’t stuck in such a lousy bowl with the Sunbelt for their champion. The Hawaii bowl (Nevada/SMU) ought to be a huge scoring game (total is 73.5 right now). The Chik-Fil-A bowl (Tennessee and Virginia Tech) is probably the most intriguing non-BCS bowl matchup. If we are to believe Stewart Mandel with cnnsi.com, the only reason PSU can possibly beat LSU is because LSU’s starting running back is injured. The Rose Bowl is probably the best game on paper this bowl season. Boise/TCU should be a good game to watch, though I think it would be much more interesting to see them playing other teams.

The Orange Bowl may be the most boring game of the year, barring Nebraska shutting down Arizona and then struggling on offense in the Holiday.

by ambivalent on Dec 17, 2009 10:44 AM CST reply actions 0 recs